FAST MOVER TROPICAL STORM DORIAN STRUGGLES AGAINST UPPER WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR

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If DORIAN survives the shear and dry air, it will be the first of the week before we know if it will succumb to the friction of the Major Antilles (mainly Hispaniola and Cuba). Global models indicate high pressure to the north should keep DORIAN on a westward track into the Gulf of Mexico by midweek if it survives adverse conditions.

DORIAN could easily decrease to a Depression or Tropical Wave when the remnants brush Hispaniola and Cuba. The main concern next week is that it may pass far enough north of Hispaniola and Cuba to brush extreme south Florida before reaching the Gulf of Mexico. We’ll be watching environmental conditions through the weekend to see if there will be anything to mention if DORIAN has a future. Stay tuned!

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