CHANTAL’S QUESTIONABLE FUTURE

2013-07-10_005824
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/025023.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Uncertainties about Chantal’s future:
1. Chantal’s hostile wind shear in the Caribbean.
2. Chantal’s encounter with the mountains of Cuba and Hispaniola.
3. Variations in forecast track near or east of Florida peninsula.
4. Climatological history of storms near latitude 30 (horse latitudes)
5. High pressure building to the north of Chantal over the weekend.

The good news is that:
1. Chantal is not expected to become a hurricane.
2. If it remains in the Atlantic, Jacksonville will be on its weaker side.
3. If it moves across the Florida peninsula, it should not intensify or could weaken or dissipate around Sunday.

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