HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA

At 8 PM AST Wednesday, The center of Hurricane SANDY was centered 115 miles southwest of Guantanamo, Cuba. It was moving towards the north at 14 mph. Peak winds were 85 mph.


The wind shear from upper level westerly winds can be seen from the satellite picture, but they are counter balanced by lower level easterly winds from the surface high pressure to the north. The result is a straight course towards the north for SANDY until Sunday as an approaching cold front replaces the high pressure. The National Hurricane Center and computer models indicate a turn to the northeast towards Bermuda.
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There are two models that take the Post-tropical storm SANDY to the New Jersey coast. The NCEP Ensemble model shows the cold front attached to a strong low pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean centered just south of Cape Cod on Tuesday. All of the others take SANDY northeast closer to Bermuda away from the U.S. coast. It’s too early to determine the actual track SANDY will take after Sunday. The weather map has a lot of players taking part in nature, and a lot of material for TV meteorologists to talk about. We’ll be watching this pattern closely this weekend.

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