It’s rain. rain, and more rain for us while DEBBY is parked over the northeast Gulf of Mexico for days![/

Each computer model assembles atmospheric data in an attempt to predict a direction of movement. In the days before computer models, we had to monitor surface pressure changes (storms are drawn to the greatest fall of the barometer), the shifts in wind directions, pin-pointing the location of the storms center (through recon or observations), by studying the effect of upper level winds, and noting peripheral weather systems that may affect the motion of the storm.

Computer models attempt to weigh all the factors that affect a tropical storm’s track. In the case of DEBBY, there has been no decisive model. High level winds may attempt to move the storm to the north or northeast, but the center does not continuously move on a sustained course. Only rain clouds are continuously stripped away from the storm’s stagnant rotation center over the Gulf of Mexico. The lower atmosphere only confines the circulating rain-producing winds over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico leaving us to ponder how long can this continue. All that we can be relatively certain of is that all of this moisture and instability inreases of the possibility of isolated tornadoes and waterspouts, along excessive rainfall being followed by rising flood waters.



  1. 1 Bill Hudson June 25, 2012 at 11:34 am

    25 June

    ‘morning, George,

    The silence is literally deafening as the last of the heavy rains have moved on around 7a.m. Since 8:10 last evening to 7:10 this morning, we have gotten 7.5 inches of rain in Oak Hill Park, which is behind the Publix and Food Lion shopping centers on 103rd St. Haven’t seen this much rain since the flooding on Norse St a number of years ago. Radar indicates a much needed break is here.

    Later – Bill Hudson

    • 2 geotv4 June 26, 2012 at 1:48 pm

      Bill, This blog is a focus on the larger scale storm location and direction of movement in relation to Channel 4’s viewing area. Local conditions are mainly reported by our broadcast meteorologists.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: