UPDATE – PASSING OVER THE GULF STREAM MAKES BERYL FULLY TROPICAL!

The National Hurricane Center’s 2 PM Advisory increases Beryl’s peak wind to 65 mph!


We’re still under a Tropical Storm warning, but it looks like the strongest winds late tonight and early Monday will be from just north of Jacksonville and Nassau county to Fernandina and the Georgia coastal counties. The eastern periphery of the circulation can remain rather strong as long as it can feed off the warm Gulf Stream waters about 60 miles offshore.

Beachgoers on Memorial Day should beware of rip currents and rough seas, especially along the Georgia-Carolina coast. We’ve had difficulty forecasting rainfall amounts because of BERYLs had been only a half-breed tropical storm, which we call subtropical. However, in the vicinity of the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, BERYL has become a true Tropical Storm (but still less than Hurricane strength).

As a Tropical Storm, BERYL’s low pressure circulation may draw greater amounts of moisture into the convective system. We may now expect rainfall amounts to be as much of 3 to 6 inches between Highways 301/I-95 and the beaches. West of 301 amounts will probably be one to 3 inches. The system will weaken when it passes inland over our coastal counties and peak winds should decrease to 40 mph or less by Monday noon. If the circulation center remains just west or northwest of Jacksonville for a couple of days, rainfall amounts can approach five to 10 inches.

Stay tuned.

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