There are several alternate courses tropical storm RINA may take.

Cold fronts this month have brought two invasions of cold, dry weather, which are hostile conditions for tropical storm existence near the U.S. shorelines. As the last month of the hurricane season draws near, storms usually form farther south in the moist environment of the deep tropics. To reach a U.S. coastline, they must maneuver from those areas into the warm interval between the cold snaps of autumn.

RINA has formed in the tropical easterlies which would take it on a west to northwesterly track from the western Caribbean to the Yucatan peninsula by Thursday. If it nears the southern Gulf of Mexico around Saturday, it could stall near a low pressure trough to the north or resume a westward drift towards the west or southwestern Gulf of Mexico. On the other hand, low pressures associated with a strong cold front moving into Florida may turn the storm northeastward towards the Florida Keys or extreme southern Florida. The storm may race towards to east northeast ahead of the cold front, or it may be blocked by strong northerly winds with rising pressures over the southeastern U.S. over next weekend.
In the meantime, we will enjoy a return of springlike days with highs in the 80s during midweek while we look towards the Gulf of Mexico or extreme south Florida to see what eventually takes place with the arrival of our next cold snap and its effect on RINA .



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