Out of 3 tropical waves, one has a chance of becoming a tropical storm.

Upper air data indicate that the rainy area in the vicinity of the Leeward Islands is becoming better organized for storm formation. As of Tuesday morning the chance of a tropical storm forming by Thursday has increased to 40%. This system is moving towards the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.

Long range forecasts show that a turn to the north over the next 5 days is not likely due to a ridge of high pressure extending from the Atlantic to the southeast US coast. If this becomes tropical storm Bonnie, the main threats for heavy rains and high winds will be over the Major Antilles (Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Cuba) and possibly the lower Bahama Islands this week. Stay tuned!



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