La Nina means less wind shear over Atlantic waters. With a warmer than average Atlantic, and a weaker Bermuda high, the season forecast for tropical storms has been increased to 18, ten of them hurricanes, and five of them becoming major hurricanes.

The chance of a hurricane strike on the east coast of the US, including the Florida peninsula, has been raised to 51%. The chance of a strike on the Gulf coast from the Florida panhandle westward is now 50%. It is impossible to tell which sections of the these coasts will be struck until each storm’s scenario is established.

Now is the time to make preparations before the peak of storm activity in August through November.


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