WATCHING SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN

High pressure and cool weather here suppress tropical system

High pressure and cool weather here suppress tropical system

Frontal convergence and remants of a tropical wave have caused showers to begin to cluster around a weak low pressure in the southwest Caribbean. The upper level low which had restricted low pressure growth is giving way to slightly more favorable conditions. Upper level winds are becoming more divergent due to an anticyclone gradually shifting the El Nino shear farther north away from this system.

If this becomes a tropical storm by the weekend, it is likely it would be too far south to affect northern Florida. However, we will continue to monitor its development along with the upper level westerlies over the southeast U.S.

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